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3rd Grenfell 12th July 2025

3rd Grenfell Race Liberation Video
Race Liberation Report

228 flyers, 4722 pigeons. Birds were liberated at 11:00 in a slight WSW wind and broken clearing cloud. They broke into 4 groups which all quickly moved east. Half the pigeons were out of sight in 4 mins. After 8 mins approx 1000 pigeons returned circling the truck with the remainder cleared towards home.



Important Note: AI does not predict the arrival time of the pigeons from the race, its job is to review the weather estimating an average speed of 70km/hr as per the CCF Constitution. The role of AI is to review the weather at the liberation point and along the flight path during the flight window.



Report from Wednesday 9th July 8:30am

🗺️ Flight Path Overview

The race covers approximately 320 km eastward from Grenfell to Sydney. Key checkpoints along the route include:

  • Grenfell (Liberation Point)

  • Cowra

  • Bathurst

  • Lithgow

  • Penrith

  • Sydney (Home)

Assuming an average pigeon speed of 70 km/h, the estimated flight duration is approximately 4 hours and 30 minutes.


🌤️ Weather Forecast Summary for Saturday, 12 July 2025

Location

Time

Temperature

Conditions

Wind Direction

Wind Speed

Grenfell

10:00 AM

9°C

Cloudy

WSW

15–20 km/h

Cowra

10:00 AM

9°C

Cloudy

WSW

15–20 km/h

Bathurst

10:00 AM

9°C

Cloudy

WSW

15–20 km/h

Lithgow

10:00 AM

8°C

Mostly Cloudy

WSW

15–20 km/h

Penrith

10:00 AM

14°C

Partly Sunny

WSW

15–20 km/h

Sydney

10:00 AM

14°C

Sunny

WSW

15–20 km/h


🧭 Wind Table (Wind Speed & Direction at Various Altitudes)

Location

Altitude

Wind Direction

Wind Speed

Grenfell

200 m

WSW

15 km/h


400 m

WSW

20 km/h


600 m

WSW

25 km/h

Cowra

200 m

WSW

15 km/h


400 m

WSW

20 km/h


600 m

WSW

25 km/h

Bathurst

200 m

WSW

15 km/h


400 m

WSW

20 km/h


600 m

WSW

25 km/h

Lithgow

200 m

WSW

15 km/h


400 m

WSW

20 km/h


600 m

WSW

25 km/h

Penrith

200 m

WSW

15 km/h


400 m

WSW

20 km/h


600 m

WSW

25 km/h

Sydney

200 m

WSW

15 km/h


400 m

WSW

20 km/h


600 m

WSW

25 km/h



✅ Protocol Compliance Summary

Weather Factor

Protocol Requirement

Forecasted Condition

Compliance

Wind Speed

Headwind ≤ 29 km/h (17 knots)

15–25 km/h

Wind Direction

Tailwind or crosswind ≤ 29 km/h (17 knots)

WSW

Rain

No rain at liberation point or along flight path

No rain forecasted

Temperature

4°C ≤ Temp ≤ 30°C at liberation point

9°C at 10:00 AM

Visibility

Clear or patchy cloud, no fog or low overcast

Cloudy to sunny, good visibility

📘 Interpretation

  • Wind Conditions: The consistent WSW headwinds ranging from 15 to 25 km/h across all altitudes and key locations are within the CCF's acceptable limits.

  • Temperature: The temperature at the liberation point is forecasted to be 9°C at 10:00 AM, well within the acceptable range of 4°C to 30°C.

  • Visibility: Cloudy to sunny conditions with no fog or low overcast ensure good visibility throughout the flight path.

  • Precipitation: No rain is forecasted at the liberation point or along the flight path.


✅ Final Recommendation

Proceed with Liberation

All weather parameters meet the CCF Federation's protocols for a safe and successful race. It is recommended to proceed with the scheduled liberation at 10:00 AM on Saturday, 12 July 2025.

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